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The Alchemy of Finance: Reading the Mind of the Market

The Alchemy of Finance: Reading the Mind of the Market

List Price: $100.00
Your Price: $100.00
Product Info Reviews

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Rating: 2 stars
Summary: Pseudo-intellectual
Review: It's not enough for Soros to be a billionaire, he also wants to be thought of as a scholar. His "theory" of reflexivity isn't at all developed; no system, no analysis, nothing but recurring promises to address the problems attendant to developing such a theory, without ever doing so. The basic premise, that markets are self-referential and are influenced by the psychology of market players, is pretty standard now and there are a number of academic circles which are truly analyzing it in-depth and truly developing theories.

But then these academics never have and never will make a killing in the market, will they? Exactly right, and Soros is more interesting in his simple war stories than in his feeble attempts at philosophizing, because he is essentially a man of action, not a coherent thinker. He relies, successfully, as much on instinct as on anything else. Why he should be ashamed of this is beyond me.

Rating: 1 stars
Summary: Financial Philosophy From Another Planet.
Review: Oh my goodness! What the heck is this? I can't tell you what this is, but I can tell you what it isn't: It isn't a book on investing, it isn't usable in the real financial world, and George Soros obviously didn't use the information in his book to make money in the markets. I guess it must be a book for some MBA graduate program or something like that because it aint' for investing!

Rating: 5 stars
Summary: You know he wrote it !
Review: Reading many readers review, and agreeing to one outstanding point is he's no story writer, but two things are absolutely sure, 1.) You recognize his confusing writing style when you buy another of his writings immediately 2.) Dame, the guy is the number 1 speculator on this planet. To correct a reader who wrote a review before, he's not an investor, he's a speculator. His writing is not for the simple minded. For PEOPLE who want a nice bed side reading that blows wind up your rear, stick with the other authors. This guy is dynamite and you know his work is original. NOT AN EASY READ BUT IF YOU ARE SERIOUS ABOUT LEARNING TO READ THE MARKET - THERE ARE NO SHORTCUTS - MUST READ FOR THE DIE-HARD SPECULATOR!

Rating: 1 stars
Summary: Written by a convicted criminal & inside trader
Review: See Dec. 20th, 2002 on the BBC web site. George Soros was convicted of inside trading in the stock of Societe Generale.

Alchemy is pretty easy when you trade on inside information. Ivan Boesky made millions too by cheating.

Rating: 4 stars
Summary: Soros made gold!
Review: Some very inspiring teories on how the market reacts to information and how it isn't perfect. I rather play the Gorilla Game (G. Moore) though.

Rating: 4 stars
Summary: Very interesting but a bit wordy
Review: Soros does not reveal his real investment secrets, however you can get a picture of what this great mind and financier is all about.

Rating: 5 stars
Summary: Great, but Challenging Read
Review: Soros has given us a great insight into the workings of the market. While his writing style is extremely tedius, the book is a must for any advance investor. I stress advanced. This is not a book for the casual investor or for someone who does not want to study Soros thought in detail. Outside of Soros' attempt to write like a German philosopher, this is a fantastic book.

Rating: 4 stars
Summary: Fascinating
Review: Soros has written an unintentionally fascinating book. First of all, the book is totally incomprehensible. The most interesting part is a diary of his trading over a couple of years, and the only conclusion I could make after reading that section is that Soros knows its time to sell when his back hurts. The other sections detail his theory of reflexivity. Basically, this theory adds up to the idea that things influence other things. It is either incomprehensible or perfectly trivial, and the fascination of the book consists in watching Soros struggle with the realization that his grand theory-of-everything is trivial. At times he comes close to recognizing that, but not close enough. At the end of the book he confesses that he believes his theory is on the order of Keynes or Einstein's achievements. At that point you just have to shake your head and wonder.

Rating: 5 stars
Summary: required reading for aspiring money managers
Review: Soros is the greatest publicly known investor of our times. His Quantum Fund numbers attest to that. In this book, he makes a Herculian effort to explain how he did it, including a real-time diary, which is as informative in revealing how often he is wrong-headed (and so exits) as it reveals how he piles on more leverage on a winning position. He also tries to honestly write about how some decisions are simply intuitive, and not the result of reasoned analysis. Though most investors will not be involved in macro-investing, where Soros simultaneously considers equity prices, forex, commodities, politics and economics, and using 5 to 1 leverage invests accordingly in stocks, bonds, currencies, both long and short --- still this is a must-read for anyone considering a carreer as a money manager. If you wanted to be an artist, you would read the biography of da Vinci, a master of art. Soros is a master of finance. The way the Beatles inspired a generation of musicians, so Soros inspired a generation of hedge fund managers.

Rating: 3 stars
Summary: Some Insights, but also Wordy & Digressive
Review: Soros is unquestionably one of the finest investors of our time, and the concept of "reflexivity" that he introduces in this book does have some merit. However, I found his wordy tome is a slightly burdensome read. Most of his most valuable points are in the first 80 pages; the remaining 300 could have been trimmed down by a wise editor.

Soros' main points revolve around a concept that he dubs "reflexivity." Reflexivity claims a few things: First, that prices aren't objective; they're based on people's biased perceptions of the fundamental factors influencing the market. Second, people make trades based on their biased perceptions, so perceptions will influence the market. Third, and most importantly, those market movements can in turn change the market's underlying fundamentals. There is, therefore, a continuous co-evolution of the market fundamentals, the market's price movements, and market participants' perceptions.

Let's run through an example to make this clear. Say a profitless Internet company's stock soars because investors have overblown expectations of earnings growth. That company could then use its inflated stock in a stock-swap to aquire another company that DOES has earnings. This aquisition would thus "justify" the stock's inflated stock value. Thus, mistaken perceptions have allowed a change in the structure of an industry (i.e. two companies merged which would not have earlier).

Soros makes a number of other valuable points about "reflexivity." He notes that traditional economics try to sidestep the issue of subjectivity and biased perceptions by assuming people behave rationally, which of course isn't always true. To demonstrate this, he points out that we see reflexive behavior all over the markets. For example, we see self-reinforcing price trends (people buy because a stock is going up, or sell when it's going down), rather than random-walks in prices. We see booms & busts in the credit markets. And so on.

Finally, the genesis of the title, "The Alchemy of Finance" comes from Soros' observation that finance can never be a science because the traditional tools of science -- that is, explanation, prediction and objectivity -- can't be used, because perceptions and subjectivity cannot be seperated out like they can in a controlled science experiment. Finance can only be a form of alchemy -- it seeks operational success, instead of being able to seeking and test fundamental laws as the scientific method does.

Overall, I found the book insightful in parts, but rambling. Some other reviewers claimed that the book was pseudo-intellectual. I did find that it lack academic rigor, but I can't be sure if that's because he was writing for a popular audience.

Since the book was written in the late 80's, there's been growing interest & academic research at the intersection between psychology and financial markets. Soros was not the first to recognize that financial markets involve a good dose of psychology, but his book serves to underscore this important truth about the market.


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